Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 226.450407 255.035127 286.831405 325.004682 369.828751 421.084998 484.550351
2024-10-20 182.246847 219.332570 264.265530 323.431088 400.368251 498.562517 635.913831
2024-10-27 151.874025 190.345502 239.497434 308.164783 403.702260 535.198818 735.948464
2024-11-03 140.167884 181.989848 237.978858 320.484525 442.678053 623.392404 924.127961
2024-11-10 132.260949 177.056909 239.530054 336.083455 487.487774 727.031781 1160.513371
2024-11-17 121.526041 166.626395 231.586927 335.901401 507.314045 794.316137 1352.768748
2024-11-24 110.298646 154.154804 218.986667 326.400442 509.901329 832.245180 1500.363565
2024-12-01 101.088761 143.709107 208.196844 318.108907 512.704219 870.227179 1657.510330
2024-12-08 96.962341 140.517898 208.184968 327.332051 547.253150 973.451567 1983.958823
2024-12-15 91.803765 135.207012 204.159582 328.997761 567.910298 1053.297549 2284.184848
2024-12-22 85.841764 128.103685 196.484462 323.178444 573.119559 1101.801207 2523.741171
2024-12-29 81.731760 123.661723 192.822968 324.136726 591.770320 1183.303904 2882.365473
2025-01-05 76.264417 116.696609 184.449513 315.724546 590.687208 1221.584228 3140.600267
2025-01-12 72.396879 112.157282 179.955523 314.314561 604.513390 1299.421480 3559.684309
2025-01-19 66.915069 104.490357 169.285226 299.583907 586.728662 1294.088040 3701.867815
2025-01-26 65.718279 104.127691 171.745363 311.469655 631.250882 1462.821559 4557.275125
2025-02-02 64.975379 104.486207 175.528668 326.512790 686.033706 1676.723935 5746.782424
2025-02-09 62.354798 101.297735 172.348624 326.337262 703.418284 1786.737599 6577.342813
2025-02-16 58.873782 96.334398 165.393215 317.175588 696.436680 1819.768427 7069.296014
2025-02-23 55.790597 91.929605 159.227183 309.178078 691.392117 1858.411707 7627.439800
2025-03-02 54.785165 91.310589 160.462762 318.074040 733.384503 2068.538424 9349.633274
2025-03-09 53.067699 89.246091 158.641436 319.680405 755.515015 2217.045692 10879.027421
2025-03-16 50.742176 85.896482 153.975182 314.068076 756.032648 2286.011976 11957.946563